Air Force 2007 Preview

Here it is the 2007 Air Force preview everyone has been waiting for. New head coach Troy Calhoun says he is opening up the playbook to bring the Falcons into the 20th century (yes I know I put 20th) to incorporate a passing game that was previously non-existent at the Academy. Calhoun takes over for Fisher DeBerry aka Foghorn Leghorn who was at the Academy for 23 years. Calhoun was a former QB witht he Falcons and most recently was the Offensive Coordinator for the Houston Texans and this is his first head coaching job. The offenese is promised to be more open, however being a triple option school for the better part of a quarter century this year may look very familar to the past with the option still being an intrical part of the offense, but also look for more diversity in some 3 or 4 wide out sets for the passing game. The Falcons have Shaun Carney who can throw the ball pretty well did look good in the spring game with the new offense throwing to the tight end and wide recievers. I fully expect the Falcons to struggle this year just because everyone who has been recruited to come to the Academy is set for the triple option offense. For the Falcons to be succesful a few things need to happen they need to pick up their new offense very quickly and hope they have the athletes that can adjust. For the Falcons to do well they MUST continue to do the option to have a good year.

With only 6 defense the Falcon defense has some work to do, because they were a below average defense in the league and nationally as well.

09/01/07 vs. SC State 12:00 p.m. MT TV The Mtn.
09/08/07 at Utah 4:00 p.m. MT TV CSTV
09/13/07 vs. TCU 6:00 p.m. MT TV CSTV
09/22/07 at BYU 1:00 p.m. MT TV The Mtn.
09/29/07 at Navy 1:00 p.m. ET TV CSTV
10/06/07 vs. UNLV 7:00 p.m. MT TV The Mtn.
10/13/07 at Colorado State 3:30 p.m. MT TV The Mtn.
10/20/07 vs. Wyoming 12:00 p.m. MT TV The Mtn.
10/25/07 at New Mexico 7:00 p.m. MT TV NONE
11/03/07 vs. Army 1:30 p.m. MT TV CSTV
11/10/07 at Notre Dame 1:30 p.m. CT TV NBC
11/17/07 vs. San Diego State 12:00 p.m. MT TV NONE

Lock it up . . . South Carolina State, UNLV, Army, San Diego State

Maybe . . . @ Colorady State, Wyoming, @ New Mexico

No Chance . . . @Utah, TCU, @BYU, @Navy, @ Notre Dame

My level headed prediction puts Air Force at 4-8 overall and going 2-6 in conference. There is a possibility for a 5th win and I would say perhaps Wyoming just because that is at home.

Best Case Scenario: Even in the most optimistic view of the Falcons I see them still starting off 1-4, that 3 game stretch is BRUTAL @ Utah, TCU, @BYU, @ Navy. In this positive section maybe they could beat Navy but it’s in Annapolis so doubt it. the only other wins I could see happening would be beating Wyoming at home and perhaps the game at New Mexico, I know I am picking on New Mexico but they always seem to lose games they should not, and because I hate Notre Dame look for the Falcons to suprise the Irish and do very well, but come up just short. For this option I see Air Force with a record of 6-6 that early stretch of 4 games is going to make a rough start for the new coach and new offense.

Worst Case Scenario: This could get ugly a polar opposite offense a new coach and a tough schedule. I could see Air Force losing to either San Diego State or UNLV not both mainly because these are home games. I see them beating UNLV just because we do not know how Rocky Hinds knee is holding up. I also could see them losing on to Army.

Overall this will be a transition season for the Falcons as they away from the triple option to a more traditional passing and spread offense.

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6 Responses

  1. I think the worst case scenario is more likely and the best case scenario. I don’t think that Air Force will properly adjust to the new system.

  2. That should read: I think the worst case scenario is more likely then the best case scenario.

  3. I’ve reviewed the upcoming games and combined that with a lot of Falcon watching.I think the Falcons could go as bad as you do but my experience says that they will end the season 6-6 or 7-5.Carney has a lot of experience. That will help in key situations. A new twist in the offense should help. The Falcons had become predictable in the last years of DeBerry outstanding career. The lost to Navy last year came as a direct result of several unusual Air Force mistakes and several very questionable offical’s rulings. I was at the game and even the Navy fans with me were suprised by the calls. I’m not whining, just noting. Also, after watching almost 50 years of interservice games, you can’t call them in advance. That loss and some of DeBerry’s unfortunate comments later seemed to set off the slide in the season.

  4. I do agree air force was becoming to predicatble with the option, the option should be anything but that. They may fair ok IF they can throw the ball well and still use the option effectively.

  5. Ben, I was at that game and I’m a Navy fan and I don’t remember those calls. Then again it was my first time in Falcon Stadium and the sun was getting to me.

    I wouldn’t say Air Force has no chance against Navy. The balance of power has clearly gone in Navy’s favor and Navy is, talent wise, now a better team than Air Force. The home field advantage may not be as significant as you think, especially when dealing with SA’s. All that being said I think Navy wins it because Air Force will be banged up coming off a brutal three game stretch and because Paul Johnson has shown a knack for beating Air Force. I’d even go out on a limb and say that it will happen by more than a touchdown this year.

  6. Good predictions! AF is 3-0 and plays BYU later today. If your predictions are correct they should lose this one too.

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