Odds of winning MWC Tournament

After months of playing the seeding is set up for the MWC mens tournament gets under way with the play in game between Colorado State and Wyoming. Also with each team I will have their percentage odds of making the NCAA or NIT.

1. (25-6) RPI: 20 SOS: 89

Best Win: Louisville 78-76 (in Las Vegas)

Worst Loss: @ Boise State 76-78

Scenario for post season play: All ready a lock with the regular season title in hand, just playing for seeding that could be as high as 5 or as low as 9

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 3 to 1

2. (23-7) RPI: 28 SOS:57

Best Win: BYU 70-41

Worst Loss: @Air Force 53-65

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 90% NIT 10%. Basically playing for seeding but a first round loss at home could have the Rebels sweating.

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 3 to 2

3. (24-7) RPI: 51 SOS:166

Best Win: UNLV 59-45

Worst Loss: @ TCU 72-74

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 45% NIT 55% Their SOS is terrible, but their gaudy record and their play late in the year may offset. For New Mexico to breathe easy they need to win 2 games and that would require them to beat UNLV in round 2 on their home court.

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 5 to 1

4. (19-11) RPI: 80 SOS: 105

Best Win: BYU 69-65 2/23/2008

Worst Loss: Northern Colorao 56-62

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 15% NIT 85%. It now looks like SDSU needs to win the conference tournament outright to get in. There might be a chance if New Mexico loses in round one and San Diego State makes it to the finals, then maybe.

Odds to win MWC Tourney:10 to 1

5. (16-13) RPI: 160 SOS: 144
Best Win: UNLV 65-53

Worst Loss: @ Northern Illinois 52-63

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 5% NIT 55% NONE 35% They have to win the conference tournament to get in, no question. With their record 2 wins should get them into the NIT
Odds to win MWC Tourney: 30 to 1

6. (16-13) RPI: 104 SOS:78

Best Win: UNLV 81-73

Worst Loss: Wyoming 69-64

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 10% NIT 55% NONE 35% Again must win the conference title and get 2 wins to have a shot at NIT. Giving the Utes a slight advantage of Air Force because the Utes have not been blown out this year.

Odds to win MWC Tourney:25 To 1

7. (14-15) RPI: 205 SOS: 186

Best Win: New Mexico 74-72

Worst Loss: @ Rice 65-70

Scenario for post season play: NCAA 5% NIT 5% NONE 90%

Most likely sitting home after they play Vegas in round one.

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 45 to 1

8. (12-17) RPI: 199 SOS:119

Best Win: @ Utah 69-64

Worst Loss: @ Denver 65-76

Scenario for post season play: NONE: 100% They should win the play in game and that is it.

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 65 to 1

9. (6-24) RPI: 273 SOS:94

Best Win: Portland State 64-63

Worst Loss: Panhandle State 91-97

Scenario for post season play: NONE: 100%

Odds to win MWC Tourney: 100 to 1

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